Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.282508 0.384640 0.498171 0.631383 0.781326 0.943098 1.129150
2025-04-20 0.156907 0.289227 0.456313 0.670728 0.928996 1.222451 1.574328
2025-04-27 0.102575 0.245271 0.443820 0.713752 1.051819 1.446623 1.929942
2025-05-04 0.074617 0.227214 0.457474 0.784148 1.204362 1.703956 2.323593
2025-05-11 0.049044 0.201520 0.453215 0.825663 1.316819 1.910181 2.654540
2025-05-18 0.025944 0.167196 0.428911 0.835051 1.384942 2.060215 2.916994
2025-05-25 0.006108 0.116652 0.367636 0.785043 1.370572 2.104893 3.049902
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.075550 0.309613 0.731309 1.345222 2.131427 3.157144
2025-06-08 NaN 0.052000 0.276027 0.709174 1.358796 2.204165 3.318365
2025-06-15 NaN 0.041815 0.267749 0.725410 1.424431 2.342771 3.560354
2025-06-22 NaN 0.028677 0.246250 0.716983 1.453507 2.433001 3.741445
2025-06-29 NaN 0.016351 0.218229 0.693631 1.458867 2.490766 3.880804
2025-07-06 NaN 0.013966 0.223702 0.732979 1.560646 2.681852 4.196314
2025-07-13 NaN 0.011878 0.229510 0.773557 1.665551 2.878924 4.521909
2025-07-20 NaN 0.010773 0.238846 0.820431 1.779564 3.087833 4.862166
2025-07-27 NaN 0.012644 0.263072 0.895921 1.936842 3.354925 5.276798
2025-08-03 NaN 0.011332 0.271093 0.940463 2.047729 3.560184 5.613142
2025-08-10 NaN 0.007296 0.261549 0.950505 2.106337 3.695371 5.860432
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001389 0.221621 0.896913 2.066178 3.696473 5.935825
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.182943 0.839203 2.016017 3.681578 5.988758
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.161967 0.815390 2.016576 3.734093 6.126755
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.159420 0.832859 2.082819 3.877018 6.381831
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.146272 0.823793 2.105538 3.959298 6.557913